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Predicting What a Post-Coronavirus Workforce Will Look Like

Not surprisingly, over the past year, I have been routinely asked for my thoughts on the future of work once we "move past" the coronavirus. While I don't have a definitive answer, I have some pieces of workforce development that I know will factor in any planning that I would do if I controlled the universe. I've also been reaching out to people in other systems to ask their thoughts about what uplifts and what worries them. Here are some thoughts I've been working through as we look forward to a "post-coronavirus" workforce:

The workforce was struggling before the pandemic
Before COVID-19, more than 30 million people had skill levels in literacy or math (or both) that limited their opportunity to either professionally advance or find stable work. We also knew, pre-coronavirus that the transition to automation will not stop—it may slow down but it will not stop. This meant that workers would be presented with challenges in the labor market. Unfortunately, we also took manufacturing out of the cities and moved it to suburban office & business parks, where we built housing, but did not build light rails or expand bus services so that people could hold their current manufacturing job or accept work there. As cars became more essential, the money went toward building more and more highways, but the labor market did not receive the same level of investment. Further exacerbating this problem is that suburbs competed with cities for tax revenue, job growth, educational excellence, Federal support for infrastructure, education, housing and more. 

The pandemic shuttered thousands of businesses and ended millions of jobs—some permanently
Thousands of businesses have closed because of the pandemic and, while there is no doubt we have spirited entrepreneurs who will help us rebuild the small business community, millions of U.S. workers have no employer to go back to. We must utilize the data available to better understand gaps in digital illiteracy, labor force participation, and how we can re-skill the large numbers of women and people of color who were forced to leave the workforce due to the pandemic. 

We need Congress to appropriate enough money to achieve the levels of skill development we need and to fund those moving toward the path of automation. The challenges, both of job loss and job growth for automation, are here now and we have the data and the expertise to anticipate where and when. But workforce development remains woefully underfunded. 
Where we can be hopeful

While I do not believe the federal government can solve all problems, I do believe that good federal policy and strong relationships can allow those communities who want to address workforce issues the opportunity to do so. For example: 
  • We can work toward removing barriers in federal grant programs by requiring multiple agency review panels so that economic development and workforce development grants get reviewed from both perspectives. 
  • We can recognize that the incumbent worker–young or more mature–needs physical and financial access to skilling/re-skilling programs and identify pathways toward accomplishing this goal. 
  • We can educate agencies to understand that job creation is not one-dimensional. We must ensure job creation also includes the individual's ability to achieve self-sufficiency in wages, access and enrollment in childcare and early education programs, transportation, and affordable/adequate housing. 
Building back better is more than infrastructure or adding jobs. It's building back communities–which includes ALL pieces of the community. Workforce development professionals and economic development professionals have a unique opportunity and responsibility to collaborate more than ever before, and local elected officials need to utilize this expertise equally, allowing both to be a part of decision-making in the nearly $25 billion local governments spend annually on advancing economic sustainability in their area. NAWB is calling on Congress to appropriate $90 billion and recognize the need for solutions to be governed locally; NAWB believes strongly in local business-led workforce development boards whose membership also includes leadership from local government, education, labor and the community. 

The challenge is we face is not simply erasing a skills gap, it is in how we choose to respect ourselves and our neighbors by supporting funding and resources for workforce development. If we can overcome this challenge, we can be the America we think we are. 

NOTE: NAWB is encouraged to see the scope of the Biden Administration’s American Jobs Plan and will continue to encourage Congress to keep in mind the pieces that make communities whole, all pieces that should receive consideration in the final legislation.

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By Brad Turner-Little February 14, 2025
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Image of Lisanne McNew with Kathy Jewett and image of Lisanne McNew and Debra Giordano
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